Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.886167 1.037151 1.199839 1.387445 1.597070 1.823346 2.085303
2025-06-08 0.615336 0.819626 1.061330 1.364734 1.731543 2.156777 2.682861
2025-06-15 0.475000 0.711649 1.015751 1.425780 1.954058 2.601378 3.443124
2025-06-22 0.365475 0.612834 0.956141 1.449604 2.121225 2.983181 4.150363
2025-06-29 0.273769 0.514283 0.874305 1.424015 2.210650 3.262632 4.738153
2025-07-06 0.217987 0.454803 0.834243 1.444800 2.356226 3.617096 5.436572
2025-07-13 0.175328 0.405421 0.798843 1.463369 2.493884 3.962803 6.135472
2025-07-20 0.143655 0.366996 0.773071 1.490188 2.640880 4.324857 6.869516
2025-07-27 0.116939 0.330658 0.743690 1.505106 2.766919 4.659229 7.575397
2025-08-03 0.089178 0.283625 0.686170 1.463970 2.798195 4.851283 8.080469
2025-08-10 0.071334 0.253258 0.654181 1.461668 2.888745 5.133332 8.724807
2025-08-17 0.053634 0.216687 0.602553 1.416226 2.901457 5.292755 9.188897
2025-08-24 0.042708 0.194970 0.579592 1.424440 3.010609 5.616200 9.927312
2025-08-31 0.032825 0.172009 0.549528 1.415460 3.089506 5.896647 10.614378
2025-09-07 0.028552 0.165809 0.557742 1.484567 3.313025 6.422601 11.704326
2025-09-14 0.023187 0.152871 0.546705 1.511891 3.461093 6.829793 12.620872
2025-09-21 0.017120 0.133068 0.513334 1.486607 3.507801 7.067868 13.274619
2025-09-28 0.013672 0.122372 0.502158 1.508597 3.645135 7.464388 14.195731
2025-10-05 0.010827 0.112380 0.490635 1.528015 3.777821 7.857167 15.121958
2025-10-12 0.008684 0.104381 0.483198 1.555842 3.928192 8.285704 16.118980
2025-10-19 0.006757 0.095673 0.471359 1.571308 4.053806 8.674353 17.060049
2025-10-26 0.004562 0.081736 0.438093 1.528786 4.056308 8.841710 17.633443
2025-11-02 0.003318 0.073308 0.421480 1.526413 4.141804 9.161192 18.472121